Iyo "kuwirirana" pakati peUS stock uye bitcoin iri kuwedzera

Musi waKukadzi 24 nguva yeBeijing, Mutungamiri weRussia Vladimir Putin akazivisa zviri pamutemo kuti achaita "mabasa ehondo" muDonbas, Ukraine.Zvadaro, Mutungamiri weUkraine Vladimir Zelensky akazivisa kuti nyika yakanga yapinda mumamiriro ehondo.

Sezvenguva yekudhinda, mutengo wegoridhe wakamira pa $ 1940, asi bitcoin yakadonha inenge 9% mumaawa makumi maviri nemana, ikozvino yakashuma pa $ 34891, Nasdaq 100 index futures yakadonha inenge 3%, uye S & P 500 index remangwana uye Dow Jones index ramangwana. yakaderera kupfuura 2%.

Nekukwira kwakanyanya kwegakava rezvematongerwo enyika, misika yemari yepasi rose yakatanga kupindura.Mitengo yegoridhe yakakwira, masheya eUS akadzokera shure, uye bitcoin, inoonekwa se "goridhe redhijitari", yakatadza kubuda kunze kwemaitiro akazvimirira.

Maererano nemashoko emhepo, kubvira pakutanga kwe2022, bitcoin yakaronga yekupedzisira mukushanda kwezvinhu zvikuru zvepasi rose ne21,98%.Muna 2021, iyo ichangopera, bitcoin yakaisa pekutanga mumapoka makuru ehupfumi nekukwira kwakanyanya kwe57,8%.

Kusiyana kwakakura kwakadaro kunokonzera kufunga, uye pepa rino richaongorora nyaya inokosha kubva kumativi matatu echiitiko, mhedziso uye chikonzero: bitcoin nemutengo wezvino wemusika we $ 700 bhiriyoni ichiri kuonekwa se "nzvimbo yakachengeteka"?

Kubva muhafu yechipiri ya2021, kutarisisa kwemusika mukuru wepasi rose kwakanangana neiyo rhythm yekukwira kweiyo Fed mubereko.Ikozvino kuwedzera kwekunetsana pakati peRussia neUkraine kwave kumwe dema dhindi, kukanganisa maitiro emarudzi ese epasi rose.

Chekutanga igoridhe.Kubva pakatanga kusawirirana pakati peRussia neUkraine musi waKukadzi 11, goridhe rave chikamu chinoyevedza zvikuru munguva pfupi iri kutevera.Pakuvhurwa kwemusika weAsia muna Kukadzi 21, goridhe rakasvetuka munguva pfupi uye rakapaza US $ 1900 mushure memwedzi misere.Gore kusvika parizvino, goho reComex gold index rasvika 4.39%.

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Kusvika parizvino, kotesheni yegoridhe yeCOMEX yanga yakanaka kwemavhiki matatu akateedzana.Mazhinji masangano ekutsvagisa mari anotenda kuti chikonzero chiri shure kweizvi chinonyanya kukonzerwa netarisiro yekuwedzera mubereko uye mhedzisiro yekuchinja mune zvehupfumi zvakakosha.Panguva imwecheteyo, nekuwedzera kwakanyanya kuchangobva kuitika kwengozi dzezvematongerwo enyika, iyo "ngozi yekuvenga" hunhu hwegoridhe hwakakurumbira.Pasi petarisiro iyi, Goldman Sachs anotarisira kuti pakupera kwa2022, iyo goridhe ETF ichawedzera kusvika matani mazana matatu pagore.Zvichakadaro, Goldman Sachs anotenda kuti mutengo wegoridhe uchave $2150 / aunzi mumwedzi gumi nemaviri.

Ngatitarisei kuNASDAQ.Seimwe yeatatu makuru indexes eUS stocks, inosanganisirawo akawanda anotungamira tekinoroji stocks.Kuita kwayo muna 2022 kwakaipa.

Musi waNovember 22, 2021, iyo NASDAQ index yakavhara pamusoro peiyo 16000 mamaki kekutanga munhoroondo yayo, ichiisa rekodhi yakakwira.Kubva ipapo, iyo NASDAQ index yakatanga kudzoka zvakanyanya.Kubva pakuvhara muna Kukadzi 23, iyo NASDAQ index yakadonha 2.57% kusvika 13037.49 mapoinzi, yakaderera nyowani kubva muna Chivabvu gore rapfuura.Kuenzaniswa nerekodhi rekodhi yakaiswa munaNovember, yadonha neinosvika 18.75%.

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Pakupedzisira, ngatitarisei bitcoin.Kusvika ikozvino, iyo yazvino quotation ye bitcoin yakatitenderedza $37000.Sezvo rekodhi yakakwira yeUS $ 69000 yakagadzwa munaNovember 10, 2021, bitcoin yadzokera kumashure neinopfuura 45%.Munguva yekuderera kwakanyanya muna Ndira 24, 2022, bitcoin yakarova yakaderera isu $32914, ndokuzovhura nzira yekutengesa.

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Kubva mugore idzva, bitcoin yakatora zvishoma $ 40000 chiratidzo musi waFebruary 16, asi nekuwedzera kwekukakavadzana pakati peRussia neUkraine, bitcoin yakavhara kwemavhiki matatu akatevedzana.Gore kusvika nhasi, mitengo ye bitcoin yadonha ne21.98%.

Kubva pakuzvarwa kwayo muna 2008 mumatambudziko emari, bitcoin yave ichinzi "digital gold" nokuti inewo mamwe maitiro.Kutanga, mari yose inogara iripo.Bitcoin inotora tekinoroji yeblockchain uye encryption algorithm kuita kuti huwandu hwayo hurambe hwakasimba kusvika mamirioni makumi maviri nerimwe.Kana kushomeka kwegoridhe kuchibva kufizikisi, kushomeka kwe bitcoin kunobva kumasvomhu.

Panguva imwecheteyo, kana ichienzaniswa negoridhe remuviri, bitcoin iri nyore kuchengeta uye kutakura (chaizvo tambo yenhamba), uye inotoonekwa seyakakwirira kune goridhe mune zvimwe zvinhu.Sezvinongoita goridhe zvishoma nezvishoma rave chiratidzo chehupfumi kubva musimbi dzinokosha kubva payakapinda munzanga yevanhu, mutengo uri kukwira we bitcoin unoenderana nekutsvaga kwevanhu hupfumi, saka vanhu vazhinji vanoidana kuti "goridhe redhijitari".

"Zvinyakare zvakabudirira, nguva dzinonetsa goridhe."Uku ndiko kunzwisisa kwevanhu veChinese kwezviratidzo zvehupfumi pamatanho akasiyana.Muhafu yekutanga ye2019, yakabatana nekutanga kweSino US kutengeserana hondo.Bitcoin yakabuda mumusika webheya uye yakasimuka kubva pamadhora mazana matatu kusvika pamadhora zviuru zana.Maitiro emusika pasi pekutarisana kwenzvimbo iyi akawedzera kuparadzira zita re bitcoin "digital gold".

Zvisinei, mumakore achangopfuura, kunyange zvazvo mutengo bitcoin yave ichikwira mukushanduka-shanduka, uye kukosha kwayo kwemusika kwakapfuura madhora emadhora emadhora emadhora muna 2021, kusvika kune chegumi chemutengo wemusika wegoridhe (nhamba dzinoratidza kuti mutengo wemusika wegoridhe wakacherwa. ne2021 inenge US $ 10 tiririyoni), kuwirirana pakati pekuita kwayo kwemutengo uye kushanda kwegoridhe kwave kuderera, uye pane zviratidzo zviri pachena zvekukwevera chirauro.

Zvinoenderana nechati data ye coinmetrics, maitiro e bitcoin negoridhe aive nekumwe kubatanidzwa muhafu yekutanga ye2020, uye kuwirirana kwakasvika 0.56, asi ne2022, kuwirirana pakati pe bitcoin negoridhe mutengo wachinja.

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Pane zvinopesana, kuwirirana pakati pe bitcoin uye US stock index iri kuwedzera uye yakakwirira.

Maererano nechati data ye coinmetrics, coefficient yekubatanidza pakati pe bitcoin uye S & P 500, imwe yezvikamu zvitatu zvikuru zve US stocks, yasvika 0,49, pedyo neyo yapfuura yakanyanyisa kukosha kwe0,54.Iyo yakakwirira kukosha, iyo yakasimba kuwirirana pakati pe bitcoin uye S & P 500. Izvi zvinopindirana nemashoko eBloomberg.Mukutanga kwaFebruary 2022, Bloomberg data yakaratidza kuti kuwirirana pakati pe cryptocurrency neNasdaq kwakasvika 0.73.

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Kubva pakuona kwemaitiro emusika, kubatana pakati pe bitcoin neUS stocks kuri kuwedzerawo.Kusimuka uye kudonha kwe bitcoin uye tekinoroji masheya kwekakati wandei mumwedzi mitatu ichangopfuura, uye kunyangwe kubva pakudonha kwemasheya eUS muna Kurume 2020 kusvika pakuderera kwemasheya eUS muna Ndira 2022, musika wekristptocurrency hauna kubuda mumusika wakazvimirira, asi inoratidza maitiro ekusimuka nekudonha nemamwe matekinoroji emasheya.

Parizvino muna 2022, ndiyo chaiyo inotungamira muunganidzwa wematekinoroji stocks "faamng" iri pedyo nekuderera kwe bitcoin.Kuunganidzwa kwehofori dzetekinoroji nhanhatu dzekuAmerica kwadzikira ne15.63% gore kusvika pari zvino, zvichiisa pekupedzisira mukuita kwezvinhu zvikuru zvepasi rose.

Yakasanganiswa neutsi hwehondo, mushure mekutanga kwehondo yeRussia yeUkraine masikati e24, hupfumi hwepasi rose hwakawira pamwe chete, US stocks uye cryptocurrency hazvina kuponeswa, apo mutengo wegoridhe nemafuta zvakatanga kukwira, uye musika wezvemari wepasi rose wakadzorwa ne "utsi hwehondo".

Saka, kubva pamusika wezvino mamiriro ezvinhu, bitcoin inonyanya kufanana nepfuma ine ngozi pane "nzvimbo yakachengeteka yefa".

Bitcoin yakabatanidzwa muhurongwa hwemari yakawanda

Pakagadzirwa bitcoin naNakamoto, chinzvimbo chayo chakachinja kakawanda.Muna 2008, murume asinganzwisisike anonzi "Nakamoto cong" akabudisa pepa muzita re bitcoin, achiunza imwe-point-to-point electronic payment system.Kubva pakupihwa zita, zvinogona kuoneka kuti nzvimbo yayo yekutanga yaive mari yedhijitari ine basa rekubhadhara.Nekudaro, kubva muna 2022, El Salvador chete, nyika diki yeCentral America, yakaita zviri pamutemo kuyedza basa rekubhadhara kwayo.

Mukuwedzera kune basa rekubhadhara, chimwe chezvikonzero zvikuru nei Nakamoto akasika bitcoin ndeyekuedza kugadzirisa mamiriro ezvinhu epanguva ino yekudhindwa kusingagumi kwemari muhurongwa hwemari yemazuva ano, saka akasika bitcoin nehuwandu hunogara huripo, hunotungamirira kune imwe. kuiswa kwe bitcoin se "anti inflation asset".

Nekukanganisa kwedenda repasi rose muna 2020, iyo Federal Reserve yakasarudza kununura musika munguva yechimbichimbi, kutanga "unlimited QE" uye kuburitsa imwe madhora mazana mana emadhora pagore.Hombe dzeAmerica mari ine huwandu hukuru hwemari yakaiswa mumasheya uye bitcoin.Mari dzese hombe, kusanganisira makambani ehunyanzvi, venture capital institution, hedge funds, mabhanga akazvimirira uye mahofisi emhuri, vakasarudza "kuvhota netsoka dzavo", Mumusika wekunyorera.

Mhedzisiro yeizvi ndeyekupenga kukwira kwemutengo we bitcoin.Muna Kukadzi 2021, Tesla akatenga bitcoin yemadhora bhiriyoni 1.5.Mutengo we bitcoin wakakwira nemari inodarika $ 10000 pazuva uye wakasvika pamutengo wepamusoro we $ 65000 muna 2021. Kusvika ikozvino, wechat, kambani yeUnited States yakanyorwa, yakaunganidza zvinopfuura 100000 bitcoins uye grey capital positions kupfuura 640000 bitcoins.

Mune mamwe mazwi, iyo bitcoin whale, inotungamirirwa neguta guru reWall Street muUnited States, yakava simba guru rinotungamirira pamusika, saka maitiro emari makuru akava mhepo ine misika yekuvhara.

Muna Kubvumbi 2021, coinbase, iyo yakakura encryption exchange muUnited States, yakanyorwa, uye mari hombe inokwanisa kutevedzera.Musi wa18 Gumiguru, iyo SEC ichabvumidza ProShares kuti itange bitcoin remangwana ETF.Kuratidzwa kwevashambadziri veUS kune bitcoin kuchawedzerwa zvakare uye maturusi achave akakwana.

Panguva imwecheteyo, iyo US Congress yakatangawo kubata kunzwa pamusoro pekristptocurrency, uye tsvakurudzo pamusoro pezvimiro zvayo uye mazano ekugadzirisa zvakadzika uye zvakadzika, uye bitcoin yakarasikirwa nechakavanzika chepakutanga.

Bitcoin zvishoma nezvishoma yakave yakaitwa mumusha mune imwe nzira yengozi pane kutsiva goridhe mukuita kwekuramba uine hanya nemari yakakura uye inogamuchirwa nemusika mukuru.

Naizvozvo, kubva pakupera kwa2021, iyo Federal Reserve yakamhanyisa nhanho yekusimudza mubereko uye yaida kumisa maitiro e "kusunungurwa kukuru kwemvura kubva kudhora reUS".Chibereko cheUS bonds chakawedzera nekukurumidza, asi US stocks uye bitcoin vakapinda mumusika webere.

Mukupedzisa, mamiriro ekutanga ehondo yeRussia yeUkraine anoratidza ikozvino ine njodzi asset hunhu hwe bitcoin.Kubva pakuchinja kwenzvimbo ye bitcoin mumakore achangopfuura, bitcoin haichazivikanwa se "nzvimbo yakachengeteka yepfuma" kana "goridhe redhijitari".


Nguva yekutumira: Mar-14-2022